Model FavoriteJune 8, 2026
Reds
31-33
Padres
33-31
36.9%63.1%
63.1%Model %
+$9.50EV per $100
55.1%Vegas %
Model pick
San Diego Padres ML (-136)
FinalCincinnati Reds 2, San Diego Padres 6
The Read
V10 finds a strong edge over the market line. Walker Buehler at full strength (57 IP).
Away Pitcher
Andrew Abbott
68.2 IP · 5.14 SIERA
Home Pitcher
Walker Buehler
57.2 IP · 4.12 SIERA
Venue
Petco Park
Park factor 0.94
Vegas Line
+113 / -136
O/U 7.5
Sharp Signal
neutral
Line moved +7¢
Published before first pitch and committed to a public record. V10 trained on 6,959 MLB games · 57.1% honest out-of-sample accuracy. Verify the record →
This is one pick from a tracked sample, so early results carry high variance. See the full record on the track record and how the model works in the methodology.