Model FavoriteJune 9, 2026
Mariners
35-32
Orioles
31-36
58.5%41.5%
58.5%Model %
+$6.06EV per $100
52.7%Vegas %
Model pick
Seattle Mariners ML (-123)
FinalSeattle Mariners 6, Baltimore Orioles 5
The Read
V10 finds a solid edge over the market line. Logan Gilbert at full strength (73 IP).
Away Pitcher
Logan Gilbert
73.2 IP · 3.43 SIERA
Home Pitcher
Trevor Rogers
54.1 IP · 4.74 SIERA
Venue
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Park factor 1.02
Vegas Line
-123 / +102
O/U 8.5
Sharp Signal
neutral
Line moved -2¢
Published before first pitch and committed to a public record. V10 trained on 6,959 MLB games · 57.1% honest out-of-sample accuracy. Verify the record →
This is one pick from a tracked sample, so early results carry high variance. See the full record on the track record and how the model works in the methodology.