LeanJune 9, 2026
Rangers
32-33
Royals
27-39
57.6%42.4%
57.6%Model %
+$3.31EV per $100
53.3%Vegas %
Model pick
Texas Rangers ML (-126)
FinalTexas Rangers 3, Kansas City Royals 5
The Read
V10 finds a small edge over the market line. Nathan Eovaldi at full strength (74 IP).
Away Pitcher
Nathan Eovaldi
74.2 IP · 3.39 SIERA
Home Pitcher
Stephen Kolek
38 IP · 3.98 SIERA
Venue
Kauffman Stadium
Park factor 1.00
Vegas Line
-126 / +105
O/U 9.5
Sharp Signal
no data
Published before first pitch and committed to a public record. V10 trained on 6,959 MLB games · 57.1% honest out-of-sample accuracy. Verify the record →
This is one pick from a tracked sample, so early results carry high variance. See the full record on the track record and how the model works in the methodology.