LeanJune 10, 2026
Rangers
32-34
Royals
28-39
56.4%43.6%
56.4%Model %
+$5.44EV per $100
51.1%Vegas %
Model pick
Texas Rangers ML (-115)
FinalTexas Rangers 6, Kansas City Royals 4
Did not beat the close+0.0¢ CLV · close -115
The Read
V10 finds a solid edge over the market line. MacKenzie Gore at full strength (66 IP).
Away Pitcher
MacKenzie Gore
66 IP · 4.09 SIERA
Home Pitcher
Seth Lugo
76 IP · 4.29 SIERA
Venue
Kauffman Stadium
Park factor 1.00
Vegas Line
-115 / -105
O/U 10
Sharp Signal
neutral
Line moved -3¢
Published before first pitch and committed to a public record. V10 trained on 6,959 MLB games · 57.1% honest out-of-sample accuracy. Verify the record →
This is one pick from a tracked sample, so early results carry high variance. See the full record on the track record and how the model works in the methodology.