LeanJune 11, 2026
Mariners
36-33
Orioles
32-37
57.9%42.1%
57.9%Model %
+$6.15EV per $100
52.1%Vegas %
Model pick
Seattle Mariners ML (-120)
FinalSeattle Mariners 5, Baltimore Orioles 7
Did not beat the close+0.0¢ CLV · close -120
The Read
V10 finds a solid edge over the market line. Bryan Woo at full strength (77 IP).
Away Pitcher
Bryan Woo
77 IP · 3.51 SIERA
Home Pitcher
Kyle Bradish
69.1 IP · 4.39 SIERA
Venue
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Park factor 1.02
Vegas Line
-120 / -101
O/U 8.5
Sharp Signal
neutral
Line moved +7¢
Published before first pitch and committed to a public record. V10 trained on 6,959 MLB games · 57.1% honest out-of-sample accuracy. Verify the record →
This is one pick from a tracked sample, so early results carry high variance. See the full record on the track record and how the model works in the methodology.