Model Favorite · LockJune 12, 2026
Dodgers
44-25
Sox
36-31
63.7%36.3%
63.7%Model %
+$4.53EV per $100
58.3%Vegas %
Model pick
Los Angeles Dodgers ML (-156)
FinalLos Angeles Dodgers 2, Chicago White Sox 8
Did not beat the close+0.0¢ CLV · close -156
The Read
V10 finds a small edge over the market line. Roki Sasaki at full strength (58 IP). Market moving against this pick.
Away Pitcher
Roki Sasaki
58 IP · 3.84 SIERA
Home Pitcher
Anthony Kay
61.1 IP · 4.79 SIERA
Venue
Rate Field
Park factor 0.97
Vegas Line
-156 / +129
O/U 9
Sharp Signal
sharp on AWAY
Line moved +16¢
Published before first pitch and committed to a public record. V10 trained on 6,959 MLB games · 57.1% honest out-of-sample accuracy. Verify the record →
This is one pick from a tracked sample, so early results carry high variance. See the full record on the track record and how the model works in the methodology.