LeanJune 13, 2026
Rays
40-26
Angels
28-42
56.3%43.7%
56.3%Model %
+$4.01EV per $100
51.7%Vegas %
Model pick
Tampa Bay Rays ML (-118)
FinalTampa Bay Rays 0, Los Angeles Angels 8
Did not beat the close+0.0¢ CLV · close -118
The Read
V10 finds a small edge over the market line. Griffin Jax at full strength (39 IP). Mild sharp action against.
Away Pitcher
Griffin Jax
39 IP · 4.32 SIERA
Home Pitcher
José Soriano
82 IP · 4.03 SIERA
Venue
Angel Stadium
Park factor 0.98
Vegas Line
-118 / -102
O/U 8.5
Sharp Signal
mild on AWAY
Line moved +8¢
Published before first pitch and committed to a public record. V10 trained on 6,959 MLB games · 57.1% honest out-of-sample accuracy. Verify the record →
This is one pick from a tracked sample, so early results carry high variance. See the full record on the track record and how the model works in the methodology.