LeanJune 14, 2026
Rays
40-27
Angels
29-42
55.7%44.3%
55.7%Model %
+$2.12EV per $100
52.1%Vegas %
Model pick
Tampa Bay Rays ML (-120)
FinalTampa Bay Rays 8, Los Angeles Angels 3
Beat the close+3.0¢ CLV · close -123
The Read
V10 finds a small edge over the market line. Casey Legumina at full strength (29 IP).
Away Pitcher
Casey Legumina
29.1 IP · 3.86 SIERA
Home Pitcher
Grayson Rodriguez
23.1 IP · 4.75 SIERA
Venue
Angel Stadium
Park factor 0.98
Vegas Line
-120 / -101
O/U 9
Sharp Signal
no data
Published before first pitch and committed to a public record. V10 trained on 6,959 MLB games · 57.1% honest out-of-sample accuracy. Verify the record →
This is one pick from a tracked sample, so early results carry high variance. See the full record on the track record and how the model works in the methodology.