Model FavoriteJune 16, 2026
Orioles
34-39
Mariners
37-36
37.2%62.8%
62.8%Model %
+$3.58EV per $100
58.0%Vegas %
Model pick
Seattle Mariners ML (-154)
FinalBaltimore Orioles 1, Seattle Mariners 3
Did not beat the close+0.0¢ CLV · close -154
The Read
V10 finds a small edge over the market line. Logan Gilbert at full strength (79 IP).
Away Pitcher
Brandon Young
56.1 IP · 4.66 SIERA
Home Pitcher
Logan Gilbert
79.2 IP · 3.53 SIERA
Venue
T-Mobile Park
Park factor 0.96
Vegas Line
+128 / -154
O/U 7.5
Sharp Signal
neutral
Line moved +2¢
Published before first pitch and committed to a public record. V10 trained on 6,959 MLB games · 57.1% honest out-of-sample accuracy. Verify the record →
This is one pick from a tracked sample, so early results carry high variance. See the full record on the track record and how the model works in the methodology.