Model FavoriteJune 16, 2026
Sox
38-32
Yankees
43-27
37.1%62.9%
62.9%Model %
+$5.11EV per $100
57.3%Vegas %
Model pick
New York Yankees ML (-149)
FinalChicago White Sox 2, New York Yankees 12
Did not beat the close+0.0¢ CLV · close -149
The Read
V10 finds a solid edge over the market line. Gerrit Cole at full strength (22 IP).
Away Pitcher
Davis Martin
78.1 IP · 3.36 SIERA
Home Pitcher
Gerrit Cole
22 IP · 4.41 SIERA
Venue
Yankee Stadium
Park factor 1.02
Vegas Line
+124 / -149
O/U 8
Sharp Signal
neutral
Line moved -6¢
Published before first pitch and committed to a public record. V10 trained on 6,959 MLB games · 57.1% honest out-of-sample accuracy. Verify the record →
This is one pick from a tracked sample, so early results carry high variance. See the full record on the track record and how the model works in the methodology.