Model FavoriteJune 16, 2026
Rays
41-28
Dodgers
46-27
36.0%64.0%
64.0%Model %
+$6.95EV per $100
57.3%Vegas %
Model pick
Los Angeles Dodgers ML (-149)
FinalTampa Bay Rays 0, Los Angeles Dodgers 1
Did not beat the close-5.0¢ CLV · close -144
The Read
V10 finds a solid edge over the market line. Justin Wrobleski at full strength (73 IP).
Away Pitcher
Drew Rasmussen
73 IP · 3 SIERA
Home Pitcher
Justin Wrobleski
73.1 IP · 4.68 SIERA
Venue
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Park factor 0.96
Vegas Line
+124 / -149
O/U 8
Sharp Signal
neutral
Line moved 0¢
Published before first pitch and committed to a public record. V10 trained on 6,959 MLB games · 57.1% honest out-of-sample accuracy. Verify the record →
This is one pick from a tracked sample, so early results carry high variance. See the full record on the track record and how the model works in the methodology.