LeanJune 17, 2026
Orioles
34-40
Mariners
38-36
39.7%60.3%
60.3%Model %
+$4.31EV per $100
55.3%Vegas %
Model pick
Seattle Mariners ML (-137)
FinalBaltimore Orioles 5, Seattle Mariners 3
Did not beat the close+0.0¢ CLV · close -137
The Read
V10 finds a solid edge over the market line. George Kirby at full strength (84 IP). Mild sharp action against.
Away Pitcher
Kyle Bradish
73.1 IP · 4.44 SIERA
Home Pitcher
George Kirby
84 IP · 3.73 SIERA
Venue
T-Mobile Park
Park factor 0.96
Vegas Line
+114 / -137
O/U 7.5
Sharp Signal
mild on AWAY
Line moved +12¢
Published before first pitch and committed to a public record. V10 trained on 6,959 MLB games · 57.1% honest out-of-sample accuracy. Verify the record →
This is one pick from a tracked sample, so early results carry high variance. See the full record on the track record and how the model works in the methodology.