Model FavoriteJune 17, 2026
Guardians
39-34
Brewers
44-26
40.1%59.9%
59.9%Model %
+$7.44EV per $100
53.2%Vegas %
Model pick
Milwaukee Brewers ML (-126)
FinalCleveland Guardians 4, Milwaukee Brewers 9
Did not beat the close+0.0¢ CLV · close -126
The Read
V10 finds a solid edge over the market line. Brandon Sproat at full strength (60 IP).
Away Pitcher
Gavin Williams
86.2 IP · 3.31 SIERA
Home Pitcher
Brandon Sproat
60 IP · 4.48 SIERA
Venue
American Family Field
Park factor 1.01
Vegas Line
+104 / -126
O/U 7.5
Sharp Signal
neutral
Line moved 0¢
Published before first pitch and committed to a public record. V10 trained on 6,959 MLB games · 57.1% honest out-of-sample accuracy. Verify the record →
This is one pick from a tracked sample, so early results carry high variance. See the full record on the track record and how the model works in the methodology.