Model FavoriteJune 17, 2026
Marlins
36-38
Phillies
40-33
40.2%59.8%
59.8%Model %
+$8.03EV per $100
52.9%Vegas %
Model pick
Philadelphia Phillies ML (-124)
FinalMiami Marlins 12, Philadelphia Phillies 4
Did not beat the close+0.0¢ CLV · close -124
The Read
V10 finds a solid edge over the market line. Andrew Painter at full strength (63 IP).
Away Pitcher
Sandy Alcantara
97.1 IP · 4.29 SIERA
Home Pitcher
Andrew Painter
63 IP · 4.58 SIERA
Venue
Citizens Bank Park
Park factor 1.02
Vegas Line
+103 / -124
O/U 9.5
Sharp Signal
neutral
Line moved -6¢
Published before first pitch and committed to a public record. V10 trained on 6,959 MLB games · 57.1% honest out-of-sample accuracy. Verify the record →
This is one pick from a tracked sample, so early results carry high variance. See the full record on the track record and how the model works in the methodology.