Model FavoriteJune 18, 2026
Orioles
35-40
Mariners
38-37
37.2%62.8%
62.8%Model %
+$4.95EV per $100
57.2%Vegas %
Model pick
Seattle Mariners ML (-149)
FinalBaltimore Orioles 0, Seattle Mariners 3
Did not beat the close-13.0¢ CLV · close -136
The Read
V10 finds a solid edge over the market line. Bryan Woo at full strength (82 IP).
Away Pitcher
Shane Baz
82 IP · 4.63 SIERA
Home Pitcher
Bryan Woo
82 IP · 3.6 SIERA
Venue
T-Mobile Park
Park factor 0.96
Vegas Line
+123 / -149
O/U 7.5
Sharp Signal
neutral
Line moved +7¢
Published before first pitch and committed to a public record. V10 trained on 6,959 MLB games · 57.1% honest out-of-sample accuracy. Verify the record →
This is one pick from a tracked sample, so early results carry high variance. See the full record on the track record and how the model works in the methodology.