LeanJune 18, 2026
Twins
35-40
Rangers
35-38
44.7%55.3%
55.3%Model %
+$11.71EV per $100
47.3%Vegas %
Model pick
Texas Rangers ML (+102)
FinalMinnesota Twins 9, Texas Rangers 3
Did not beat the close+0.0¢ CLV · close +102
The Read
V10 finds a strong edge over the market line. Jack Leiter at full strength (76 IP).
Away Pitcher
Joe Ryan
82.1 IP · 3.21 SIERA
Home Pitcher
Jack Leiter
76 IP · 4.18 SIERA
Venue
Globe Life Field
Park factor 1.04
Vegas Line
-123 / +102
O/U 7.5
Sharp Signal
no data
Published before first pitch and committed to a public record. V10 trained on 6,959 MLB games · 57.1% honest out-of-sample accuracy. Verify the record →
This is one pick from a tracked sample, so early results carry high variance. See the full record on the track record and how the model works in the methodology.