Model FavoriteJune 18, 2026
Giants
31-43
Braves
46-27
37.2%62.8%
62.8%Model %
+$6.41EV per $100
56.4%Vegas %
Model pick
Atlanta Braves ML (-144)
Final—
Did not beat the close-7.0¢ CLV · close -137
The Read
V10 finds a solid edge over the market line. Martín Pérez at full strength (62 IP).
Away Pitcher
Landen Roupp
74.1 IP · 3.78 SIERA
Home Pitcher
Martín Pérez
62 IP · 4.15 SIERA
Venue
Truist Park
Park factor 1.00
Vegas Line
+119 / -144
O/U 7.5
Sharp Signal
neutral
Line moved +5¢
Published before first pitch and committed to a public record. V10 trained on 6,959 MLB games · 57.1% honest out-of-sample accuracy. Verify the record →
This is one pick from a tracked sample, so early results carry high variance. See the full record on the track record and how the model works in the methodology.