Model FavoriteJune 19, 2026
Giants
31-43
Marlins
37-38
41.5%58.5%
58.5%Model %
+$7.25EV per $100
52.1%Vegas %
Model pick
Miami Marlins ML (-120)
FinalSan Francisco Giants 3, Miami Marlins 4
Did not beat the close-6.0¢ CLV · close -114
The Read
V10 finds a solid edge over the market line. Lake Bachar at full strength (39 IP).
Away Pitcher
Landen Roupp
74.1 IP · 3.78 SIERA
Home Pitcher
Lake Bachar
39.1 IP · 3.14 SIERA
Venue
loanDepot park
Park factor 0.96
Vegas Line
-101 / -120
O/U 8
Sharp Signal
neutral
Line moved +1¢
Published before first pitch and committed to a public record. V10 trained on 6,959 MLB games · 57.1% honest out-of-sample accuracy. Verify the record →
This is one pick from a tracked sample, so early results carry high variance. See the full record on the track record and how the model works in the methodology.