Model FavoriteJune 20, 2026
Reds
35-39
Yankees
46-28
28.9%71.1%
71.1%Model %
+$6.47EV per $100
63.8%Vegas %
Model pick
New York Yankees ML (-201)
FinalCincinnati Reds 10, New York Yankees 2
Did not beat the close+0.0¢ CLV · close -201
The Read
V10 finds a solid edge over the market line. Will Warren at full strength (72 IP).
Away Pitcher
Andrew Abbott
79.2 IP · 5.08 SIERA
Home Pitcher
Will Warren
72.2 IP · 3.77 SIERA
Venue
Yankee Stadium
Park factor 1.02
Vegas Line
+164 / -201
O/U 9.5
Sharp Signal
neutral
Line moved -7¢
Published before first pitch and committed to a public record. V10 trained on 6,959 MLB games · 57.1% honest out-of-sample accuracy. Verify the record →
This is one pick from a tracked sample, so early results carry high variance. See the full record on the track record and how the model works in the methodology.