Model FavoriteJune 24, 2026
Brewers
48-29
Reds
37-41
63.5%36.5%
63.5%Model %
+$8.86EV per $100
55.8%Vegas %
Model pick
Milwaukee Brewers ML (-140)
FinalMilwaukee Brewers 6, Cincinnati Reds 5
Did not beat the close-8.0¢ CLV · close -132
The Read
V10 finds a strong edge over the market line. Shane Drohan at full strength (47 IP).
Away Pitcher
Shane Drohan
47.2 IP · 3.6 SIERA
Home Pitcher
Rhett Lowder
52.1 IP · 5.11 SIERA
Venue
Great American Ball Park
Park factor 1.05
Vegas Line
-140 / +116
O/U 9.5
Sharp Signal
neutral
Line moved -3¢
Published before first pitch and committed to a public record. V10 trained on 6,959 MLB games · 57.1% honest out-of-sample accuracy. Verify the record →
This is one pick from a tracked sample, so early results carry high variance. See the full record on the track record and how the model works in the methodology.