Model FavoriteJune 30, 2026
Reds
39-44
Brewers
51-31
32.2%67.8%
67.8%Model %
+$6.54EV per $100
60.8%Vegas %
Model pick
Milwaukee Brewers ML (-175)
FinalCincinnati Reds 2, Milwaukee Brewers 7
Did not beat the close+0.0¢ CLV · close -175
The Read
V10 finds a strong edge over the market line. Brandon Sproat at full strength (69 IP).
Away Pitcher
Rhett Lowder
58 IP · 4.94 SIERA
Home Pitcher
Brandon Sproat
69.2 IP · 4.1 SIERA
Venue
American Family Field
Park factor 1.01
Vegas Line
+144 / -175
O/U 9
Sharp Signal
neutral
Line moved +6¢
Published before first pitch and committed to a public record. V10 trained on 6,959 MLB games · 57.1% honest out-of-sample accuracy. Verify the record →
This is one pick from a tracked sample, so early results carry high variance. See the full record on the track record and how the model works in the methodology.