Model FavoriteJuly 1, 2026
Reds
39-45
Brewers
52-31
32.9%67.1%
67.1%Model %
+$8.27EV per $100
59.2%Vegas %
Model pick
Milwaukee Brewers ML (-163)
FinalCincinnati Reds 2, Milwaukee Brewers 4
Did not beat the close+0.0¢ CLV · close -163
The Read
V10 finds a strong edge over the market line. Shane Drohan at full strength (52 IP).
Away Pitcher
Andrew Abbott
90 IP · 4.93 SIERA
Home Pitcher
Shane Drohan
52 IP · 3.68 SIERA
Venue
American Family Field
Park factor 1.01
Vegas Line
+134 / -163
O/U 9
Sharp Signal
neutral
Line moved -7¢
Published before first pitch and committed to a public record. V10 trained on 6,959 MLB games · 57.1% honest out-of-sample accuracy. Verify the record →
This is one pick from a tracked sample, so early results carry high variance. See the full record on the track record and how the model works in the methodology.