Model FavoriteJuly 7, 2026
Rockies
37-55
Dodgers
60-32
29.0%71.0%
71.0%Model %
−$4.68EV per $100
71.3%Vegas %
Model pick
Los Angeles Dodgers ML (-292)
The Read
V10 leans this way with a calibrated read (69%). Justin Wrobleski at full strength (93 IP). Sharps confirm the lean.
Away Pitcher
Michael Lorenzen
86 IP · 4.72 SIERA
Home Pitcher
Justin Wrobleski
93.1 IP · 4.39 SIERA
Venue
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Park factor 0.96
Vegas Line
+233 / -292
O/U 9.5
Sharp Signal
sharp on HOME
Line moved -25¢
Published before first pitch and committed to a public record. V10 trained on 6,959 MLB games · 57.1% honest out-of-sample accuracy. Verify the record →
This is one pick from a tracked sample, so early results carry high variance. See the full record on the track record and how the model works in the methodology.