Model FavoriteJuly 7, 2026
Angels
36-55
Rangers
45-45
40.5%59.5%
59.5%Model %
−$4.00EV per $100
59.3%Vegas %
Model pick
Texas Rangers ML (-163)
The Read
V10 and the market are closely aligned - no clear lean. Jacob deGrom at full strength (95 IP).
Away Pitcher
José Soriano
100 IP · 3.98 SIERA
Home Pitcher
Jacob deGrom
95.2 IP · 3.02 SIERA
Venue
Globe Life Field
Park factor 1.04
Vegas Line
+135 / -163
O/U 7
Sharp Signal
neutral
Line moved 0¢
Published before first pitch and committed to a public record. V10 trained on 6,959 MLB games · 57.1% honest out-of-sample accuracy. Verify the record →
This is one pick from a tracked sample, so early results carry high variance. See the full record on the track record and how the model works in the methodology.