Model FavoriteJuly 7, 2026
Mariners
47-44
Marlins
49-42
50.9%49.1%
50.9%Model %
+$3.84EV per $100
46.9%Vegas %
Model pick
Seattle Mariners ML (+104)
The Read
V10 sees a modest gap from the market, but without the confidence to play it. Bullpen edge drives the lean.
Away Pitcher
TBD
0 IP
Home Pitcher
Max Meyer
103 IP · 3.71 SIERA
Venue
loanDepot park
Park factor 0.96
Vegas Line
+104 / -125
O/U 8
Sharp Signal
neutral
Line moved -7¢
Published before first pitch and committed to a public record. V10 trained on 6,959 MLB games · 57.1% honest out-of-sample accuracy. Verify the record →
This is one pick from a tracked sample, so early results carry high variance. See the full record on the track record and how the model works in the methodology.