LeanJuly 8, 2026
Brewers
58-33
Cardinals
47-43
60.8%39.2%
60.8%Model %
+$1.61EV per $100
57.3%Vegas %
Model pick
Milwaukee Brewers ML (-149)
FinalMilwaukee Brewers 1, St. Louis Cardinals 5
Did not beat the close+0.0¢ CLV · close -149
The Read
V10 and the market are closely aligned - no clear lean. Kyle Harrison at full strength (79 IP). Market moving against this pick.
Away Pitcher
Kyle Harrison
79.2 IP · 3.04 SIERA
Home Pitcher
Michael McGreevy
95.1 IP · 4.54 SIERA
Venue
Busch Stadium
Park factor 0.98
Vegas Line
-149 / +124
O/U 8.5
Sharp Signal
sharp on AWAY
Line moved +15¢
Published before first pitch and committed to a public record. V10 trained on 6,959 MLB games · 57.1% honest out-of-sample accuracy. Verify the record →
This is one pick from a tracked sample, so early results carry high variance. See the full record on the track record and how the model works in the methodology.