Model FavoriteJuly 24, 2026
Guardians
54-50
Rays
59-43
47.0%53.0%
53.0%Model %
−$9.41EV per $100
55.9%Vegas %
Model pick
Tampa Bay Rays ML (-141)
The Read
V10 sees a modest gap from the market, but without the confidence to play it. Shane McClanahan at full strength (91 IP).
Away Pitcher
Joey Cantillo
106 IP · 4.3 SIERA
Home Pitcher
Shane McClanahan
91 IP · 4.13 SIERA
Venue
Tropicana Field
Park factor 1.00
Vegas Line
+117 / -141
O/U 7
Sharp Signal
neutral
Line moved 0¢
Published before first pitch and committed to a public record. V10 trained on 6,959 MLB games · 57.1% honest out-of-sample accuracy. Verify the record →
This is one pick from a tracked sample, so early results carry high variance. See the full record on the track record and how the model works in the methodology.