Model FavoriteJuly 24, 2026
Rockies
41-63
Brewers
64-38
28.1%71.9%
71.9%Model %
−$3.64EV per $100
71.4%Vegas %
Model pick
Milwaukee Brewers ML (-294)
The Read
V10 leans this way with a calibrated read (70%). Shane Drohan at full strength (76 IP). Sharps confirm the lean.
Away Pitcher
Tomoyuki Sugano
90.2 IP · 5.12 SIERA
Home Pitcher
Shane Drohan
76 IP · 3.66 SIERA
Venue
American Family Field
Park factor 1.01
Vegas Line
+234 / -294
O/U 8.5
Sharp Signal
sharp on HOME
Line moved -48¢
Published before first pitch and committed to a public record. V10 trained on 6,959 MLB games · 57.1% honest out-of-sample accuracy. Verify the record →
This is one pick from a tracked sample, so early results carry high variance. See the full record on the track record and how the model works in the methodology.