Model FavoriteJuly 24, 2026
Angels
41-62
Giants
42-60
47.5%52.5%
52.5%Model %
−$14.06EV per $100
58.4%Vegas %
Model pick
San Francisco Giants ML (-157)
The Read
V10 diverges sharply from the market on a lower-confidence game (50%) - that pattern historically favors the market, so it is a pass. Logan Webb at full strength (107 IP).
Away Pitcher
Grayson Rodriguez
35 IP · 5.26 SIERA
Home Pitcher
Logan Webb
107 IP · 4.01 SIERA
Venue
Oracle Park
Park factor 0.93
Vegas Line
+130 / -157
O/U 8.5
Sharp Signal
neutral
Line moved -4¢
Published before first pitch and committed to a public record. V10 trained on 6,959 MLB games · 57.1% honest out-of-sample accuracy. Verify the record →
This is one pick from a tracked sample, so early results carry high variance. See the full record on the track record and how the model works in the methodology.