Model FavoriteJuly 24, 2026
Yankees
57-45
Phillies
56-47
44.9%55.1%
55.1%Model %
−$4.97EV per $100
55.5%Vegas %
Model pick
Philadelphia Phillies ML (-138)
The Read
V10 and the market are closely aligned - no clear lean. Jesús Luzardo at full strength (115 IP). Mild sharp action confirms.
Away Pitcher
Cam Schlittler
123 IP · 3.02 SIERA
Home Pitcher
Jesús Luzardo
115.1 IP · 3.17 SIERA
Venue
Citizens Bank Park
Park factor 1.02
Vegas Line
+115 / -138
O/U 7.5
Sharp Signal
mild on HOME
Line moved -12¢
Published before first pitch and committed to a public record. V10 trained on 6,959 MLB games · 57.1% honest out-of-sample accuracy. Verify the record →
This is one pick from a tracked sample, so early results carry high variance. See the full record on the track record and how the model works in the methodology.