Model FavoriteJuly 24, 2026
Mariners
51-52
Rangers
51-51
51.2%48.8%
51.2%Model %
−$3.89EV per $100
51.0%Vegas %
Model pick
Seattle Mariners ML (-114)
The Read
V10 and the market are closely aligned - no clear lean. Bryce Miller at full strength (63 IP).
Away Pitcher
Bryce Miller
63.1 IP · 2.95 SIERA
Home Pitcher
MacKenzie Gore
110.2 IP · 3.89 SIERA
Venue
Globe Life Field
Park factor 1.04
Vegas Line
-114 / -105
O/U 7.5
Sharp Signal
no data
Published before first pitch and committed to a public record. V10 trained on 6,959 MLB games · 57.1% honest out-of-sample accuracy. Verify the record →
This is one pick from a tracked sample, so early results carry high variance. See the full record on the track record and how the model works in the methodology.