Model FavoriteJuly 24, 2026
Rays
59-42
Jays
46-56
50.1%49.9%
50.1%Model %
−$5.95EV per $100
50.9%Vegas %
Model pick
Tampa Bay Rays ML (-114)
The Read
V10 and the market are closely aligned - no clear lean. Casey Legumina at full strength (41 IP).
Away Pitcher
Casey Legumina
41.1 IP · 4.33 SIERA
Home Pitcher
Shane Bieber
23.2 IP · 5.1 SIERA
Venue
Rogers Centre
Park factor 1.00
Vegas Line
-114 / -106
O/U 8.5
Sharp Signal
no data
Published before first pitch and committed to a public record. V10 trained on 6,959 MLB games · 57.1% honest out-of-sample accuracy. Verify the record →
This is one pick from a tracked sample, so early results carry high variance. See the full record on the track record and how the model works in the methodology.