Model FavoriteJuly 27, 2026
Rockies
42-64
Brewers
65-39
29.0%71.0%
71.0%Model %
−$9.97EV per $100
75.5%Vegas %
Model pick
Milwaukee Brewers ML (-373)
The Read
V10 leans this way with a calibrated read (69%). Jacob Misiorowski at full strength (115 IP).
Away Pitcher
Kyle Freeland
94 IP · 4.12 SIERA
Home Pitcher
Jacob Misiorowski
115 IP · 2.2 SIERA
Venue
American Family Field
Park factor 1.01
Vegas Line
+290 / -373
O/U 8
Sharp Signal
no data
Published before first pitch and committed to a public record. V10 trained on 6,959 MLB games · 57.1% honest out-of-sample accuracy. Verify the record →
This is one pick from a tracked sample, so early results carry high variance. See the full record on the track record and how the model works in the methodology.