Model FavoriteJuly 27, 2026
Astros
52-54
Sox
54-49
44.9%55.1%
55.1%Model %
+$3.43EV per $100
51.0%Vegas %
Model pick
Chicago White Sox ML (-114)
The Read
V10 sees a modest gap from the market, but without the confidence to play it. Erick Fedde at full strength (93 IP).
Away Pitcher
Ronel Blanco
0 IP
Home Pitcher
Erick Fedde
93 IP · 4.77 SIERA
Venue
Rate Field
Park factor 0.97
Vegas Line
-105 / -114
O/U 9
Sharp Signal
neutral
Line moved +6¢
Published before first pitch and committed to a public record. V10 trained on 6,959 MLB games · 57.1% honest out-of-sample accuracy. Verify the record →
This is one pick from a tracked sample, so early results carry high variance. See the full record on the track record and how the model works in the methodology.