Model FavoriteJuly 27, 2026
Mariners
51-54
Rangers
53-51
50.0%50.0%
50.0%Model %
−$1.46EV per $100
48.5%Vegas %
Model pick
Seattle Mariners ML (-103)
The Read
V10 and the market are closely aligned - no clear lean. Logan Gilbert at full strength (120 IP).
Away Pitcher
Logan Gilbert
120 IP · 3.33 SIERA
Home Pitcher
Jacob deGrom
105.1 IP · 3.06 SIERA
Venue
Globe Life Field
Park factor 1.04
Vegas Line
-103 / -117
O/U 7
Sharp Signal
neutral
Line moved -4¢
Published before first pitch and committed to a public record. V10 trained on 6,959 MLB games · 57.1% honest out-of-sample accuracy. Verify the record →
This is one pick from a tracked sample, so early results carry high variance. See the full record on the track record and how the model works in the methodology.