LeanAugust 20, 2026
Mariners
60-67
Brewers
78-49
42.1%57.9%
57.9%Model %
+$2.78EV per $100
55.3%Vegas %
Model pick
Milwaukee Brewers ML (-129)
The Read
V10 sees a modest gap from the market, but without the confidence to play it. Robert Gasser at full strength (73 IP).
Away Pitcher
George Kirby
136.2 IP · 4.02 SIERA
Home Pitcher
Robert Gasser
73.1 IP · 4.06 SIERA
Venue
American Family Field
Park factor 1.01
Vegas Line
+120 / -129
O/U 8
Sharp Signal
neutral
Line moved +2¢
Published before first pitch and committed to a public record. V10 trained on 6,959 MLB games · 57.1% honest out-of-sample accuracy. Verify the record →
This is one pick from a tracked sample, so early results carry high variance. See the full record on the track record and how the model works in the methodology.